RESEARCH
__________________________________________________________________
Kenneth
Gillingham
Professor, Yale School of the Environment
E-mail: kenneth dot gillingham at yale dot edu
Research Interests
Environmental & Energy Economics, Industrial Organization, Public Economics, Empirical Methods,
Technological Change, Transportation Economics, Energy & Climate Policy Modeling
All Papers | Selected Economics Papers | Selected Science Papers | Selected Management Papers
Selected Working Papers
Valuing Solar Subsidies (with Bryan Bollinger and Justin Kirkpatrick) Valuing Technology Complementarities: Rooftop Solar and Energy Storage (with Bryan Bollinger, Naim Darghouth, and Andres Gonzalez-Lira) Learning-by-Doing in Solar Photovoltaic Installations (with Bryan Bollinger) The Effect of Fuel Economy Standards on Vehicle Weight Dispersion and Accident Fatalities (with Antonio Bento and Kevin Roth) The Economics of Fuel Economy Standards versus Feebates Publications 2025 Racial Disparities in the Health Effects from Air Pollution: Evidence from Ports (with Pei Huang) Boundary Effects in the Diffusion of New Products on Cartesian Networks (with Gadi Fibich and Tomer Levin) Microeconomics of the Solar Rebound Under Net Metering (with Matt Oliver and Juan Moreno-Cruz) Climate Change through the Lens of Macroeconomics (with Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde and Simon Scheidegger) The Health Impacts of Transitioning Away from Fossil Fuels Toward Cleaner Energy (with Michelle Bell) Air Pollution and Solar Energy: Evidence from Wildfires (with Seung Min Kim) Carbon Pricing and the Emissions Implications of Electric Vehicles (with Marten Ovaere and Stephanie Weber) 2024 Promotional Campaign Duration and Word-of-Mouth in Solar Panel Adoption (with Bryan Bollinger, Stefan Lamp, and Tsvetan Tsvetanov) How Is Rooftop Solar Capitalized in Home Prices (with Asa Watten) Peer-to-Peer Solar and Social Rewards: Evidence from a Field Experiment (with Stefano Carattini, Xiangyu Meng, and Erez Yoeli) Delivering Affordable Clean Energy to Consumers (with Praveen Kopelle, Jesse Burkhardt, Lauren Grewal, and Nailya Ordabayeva) 2023 Experimental Evidence on the Effect of Pricing on Residential Electricity Consumption (with Jesse Burkhardt and Praveen Kopalle) Technology Advancement is Driving Electric Vehicle Adoption (with Connor Forsythe, Jeremy Michalek, and Kate Whitefoot) US Benefit-Cost Analysis Requires Revision (with Peter Howard, Max Sarinsky, Michael Bauer, et al.) Germany: Luring Drivers Onto Public Transport (with Mark Andor et al.) Comment on 'Economic Implications of the Climate Provisions of the Inflation Reduction Act' Has Consumer Acceptance of Electric Vehicles Been Increasing? Evidence from Microdata on Every New Vehicle Sale in the United States (with Arthur van Benthem, Stephanie Weber, Daly Saafi, and Xin He) Quantifying the Benefits of the Introduction of the Hybrid Electric Vehicle (with Rich Langford) Making Pro-social Social: The Effectiveness of Social Norm Appeals for Energy Conservation Using Social Media (with Kelly Guo and Bryan Bollinger) 2022 Equilibrium Trade in Automobile Markets (with Fedor Iskhakov, Anders Munk-Nielsen, John Rust, and Bertel Schjerning) Visibility and Peer Influence in Durable Good Adoption (with Bryan Bollinger, Justin Kirkpatrick, and Steve Sexton) Designing Fuel-Economy Standards in Light of Electric Vehicles What is the Value of Conformity? Evidence from Home Landscaping and Water Conservation (with Jesse Burkhardt, Nathan Chan, and Bryan Bollinger) 2021 Consumer Myopia in Vehicle Purchases: Evidence from a Natural Experiment (with Sebastien Houde and Arthur van Benthem) Social Learning and Solar Photovoltaic Adoption (with Bryan Bollinger) The Climate and Health Benefits from Intensive Building Energy Efficiency Improvements (with Pei Huang, Colby Buehler, Jordan Peccia, Drew Gentner) Eight Priorities for Calculating the Social Cost of Carbon (with Gernot Wagner et al.) Pricing of Indirect Emissions Accelerates Low-Carbon Transition of U.S. Light Vehicle Sector (with Paul Wolfram, Stephanie Weber, Edgar Hertwich) Linking Housing Policy, Housing Typology and Residential Energy Demand in the United States (with Peter Berrill and Edgar Hertwich) Induced Innovation in Energy Technologies and Systems: A Review of Evidence and Potential Implications for CO2 Mitigation (with Michael Grubb et al.) Drivers of Change in U.S. Residential Energy Consumption (with Peter Berrill and Edgar Hertwich) 2020 Attribute Substitution in Household Vehicle Portfolios (with Jim Archsmith, Chris Knittel, and Dave Rapson) Peer Effects in Residential Water Conservation: Evidence from Migration (with Bryan Bollinger and Jesse Burkhardt) Field Experimental Evidence Shows that Self-Interest Attracts More Sunlight (with Bryan Bollinger and Marten Ovaere) Long-run Environmental and Economic Impacts of Electrifying Waterborne Shipping in the United States (with Pei Huang) The Short-run and Long-run Effects of Covid-19 on Energy and the Environment (with Chris Knittel, Jing Li, Marten Ovaere, and Mar Reguant) Running a Car Costs Much More Than People Think (with Mark Andor, Andreas Gerster, Marco Horvath) Peer Influence on Household Energy Behaviors (with Kim Wolske and Wes Schultz) The Rebound Effect and the Proposed Rollback of U.S. Fuel Economy Standards 2019 Hurdles and Steps: Estimating Demand for Solar Photovoltaics (with Tsvetan Tsvetanov) A Tale of Two Tails: Commuting and the Fuel Price Response in Driving (with Anders Munk-Nielsen) Is Abundant Natural Gas a Bridge to a Low-Carbon Future or a Dead-end? (with Pei Huang) 2018 Flawed Analyses of U.S. Auto Fuel Economy Standards (with Antonio Bento et al.) Credibility-Enhancing Displays Promote the Provision of a Non-Normative Public Good (with Gordon Kraft-Todd, Bryan Bollinger, Stefan Lamp, and Dave Rand) Uncertainty in Forecasts of Long-Run Economic Growth (with Peter Christensen and William Nordhaus) The Costs of Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions (with Jim Stock) Modeling Uncertainty in Integrated Assessment of Climate Change: A Multi-Model Comparison (with William Nordhaus et al.) Nudging Energy Efficiency Audits: Evidence from a Field Experiment (with Tsvetan Tsvetanov) Advances in Evaluating Energy Efficiency Policies and Programs (with Karen Palmer and Amelia Keyes) 2017 Lessons from First Campus Carbon Pricing Scheme (with Stefano Carattini and Dan Esty) What Factors Affect the Prices of Low-Priced U.S. Solar PV Systems (with Greg Nemet et al.) Solar Subsidies and Characteristics of Low-Priced Solar Systems (with Greg Nemet et al.) 2016 Reforming the Federal Coal Leasing Program (with Jim Bushnell, Meredith Fowlie, Michael Greenstone, Alan Krupnick, Charlie Kolstad, Adele Morris, Dick Schmalensee, and Jim Stock) The Rebound Effect and Energy Efficiency Policy (with David Rapson and Gernot Wagner) Opportunities for Advances in Climate Economics (with Marshall Burke et al.) Deconstructing Solar Photovoltaic Pricing: The Role of Market Structure, Technology, and Policy (with Hao Deng et al.) 2015 The Microeconomic Theory of the Rebound Effect and its Welfare Implications (with Nathan W. Chan) Heterogeneity in the Response to Gasoline Prices: Evidence from Pennsylvania and Implications for the Rebound Effect (with Alan Jenn and Inês Azevedo) Spatial Patterns of Solar Photovoltaic System Adoption: The Influence of Neighbors and the Built Environment (with Marcello Graziano) 2014 Using and Improving the Social Cost of Carbon (with Billy Pizer et al.) Rebound Effects Bridging the Energy Efficiency Gap: Policy Insights from Economic Theory and Empirical Analysis (with Karen Palmer) Identifying the Elasticity of Driving: Evidence from a Gasoline Price Shock in California 2013 Long-Term Shifts in Lifecycle Energy Efficiency and Carbon Intensity (with Sonia Yeh, Gouri Mishra, Geoff Morrison, Jacob Teter, Raul Quiceno, and Xavier Riera-Palou) The Rebound Effect is Over-played (with Matthew Kotchen, David Rapson, and Gernot Wagner) 2012 Peer Effects in the Diffusion of Solar Photovoltaic Panels (with Bryan Bollinger) Barriers to the Implementation of Low Carbon Technologies (with Jim Sweeney) Split Incentives in Residential Energy Consumption (with Matt Harding and David Rapson) 2010 Market Failure and the Structure of Externalities (with Jim Sweeney) Economic Impact of the Integration of Alternative Vehicle Technologies into the New Zealand Vehicle Fleet (with Jonathan Leaver) 2009 Energy Efficiency Economics and Policy (with Richard Newell
and Karen Palmer) Economic Efficiency of Solar Hot Water Policy in New Zealand Assessment of Primary Impacts of a Hydrogen Economy in New
Zealand using UNISYD (with Jonathan Leaver and Luke Leaver) 2008 Modeling Endogenous Technological Change for Climate Policy
Analysis (with Richard Newell and William Pizer) Learning-by-Doing and the Optimal Solar Policy in
California (with Arthur van Benthem and James Sweeney) Impact of Bioenergy Crops in a Carbon Constrained World: An Application of the MiniCAM Linked Energy-Agriculture and Land Use Model (with Stephen Smith and Ronald
Sands) 2007 Measuring Marginal Congestion Costs of Urban Transportation: Do Networks Matter? (with Elena Safirova and Sebastien Houde) 2006 Energy Efficiency Policies: A Retrospective Examination (with Richard Newell and Karen
Palmer) Economies of Scale in Community Water Systems (with Jhih-Shyang Shih, Winston Harrington,
and William Pizer) 2005 Choosing Congestion Pricing Policy: Cordon Tolls vs. Link-Based Tolls (with Elena
Safirova, Peter Nelson, Winston Harrington, and Abram Lipman) 2004 Welfare and Distributional Effects of HOT Lanes and Other Road Pricing Policies in
Metropolitan Washington, DC (with Elena Safirova, Ian Parry, Winston Harrington, Peter Nelson, and David Mason) Other Publications Potential and Critical Issues of Electric Vehicles Development (with Stephanie Weber), In: The Global Quest for Sustainability: The Role of Green Infrastructure in a Post-Pandemic World Emissions Projections for a Trio of Federal Climate Policies (with Wesley Look et al.) Shipping Shapes Health (with Pei Huang) Carbon Calculus: The Cost of Greenhouse Gas Reductions Comments on the Notice of Proposed Rulemaking for The Safer Affordable Fuel-Efficient (SAFE) Vehicles Rule for Model Years 2021-2026 Passenger Cars and Light Trucks William Nordhaus and the Costs of Climate Change Federal Mineral Leasing Reform and Climate Policy (with Jim Stock) Do Peer Effects Matter? Assessing the Impact of Causal Social Influence on Solar PV Adoption (with Bryan Bollinger) Carbon Accounting is a Tricky Business, Letter to the Editor (with Andrew Friedland) Analysis of Measures to Meet the Requirements of California's Assembly Bill 32 (with James
Sweeney, John Weyant, and the AB-32 team) Hydrogen Internal Combustion Engine Vehicles: A Prudent Intermediate Step or a Step in
the Wrong Direction? The Effectiveness and Cost of Energy Efficiency Programs (with Richard Newell and
Karen Palmer) Are HOT Lanes a Hot Deal? Analyzing the Potential of HOV to HOT Lanes Conversion in Northern
Virginia (with Elena Safirova, Winston Harrington, and Peter Nelson) Revving up the Tax Engine: Gas Taxes and the DC Metro Area's Transportation Dilemma (with
Peter Nelson and Elena Safirova)
[Working Paper]
[Working Paper]
[NBER Working Paper]
[Working Paper]
[Working Paper]
[Appendix]
[NEPI Working Paper]
Journal of Human Resources (2025), forthcoming
[Working Paper]
[NBER Working Paper]
[ZEW Working Paper]
Operations Research (2025), forthcoming
[Published Version]
[Working Paper]
Journal of the Association of Environmental & Resource Economists (2025), forthcoming
[Published Version]
[Earlier Working Paper]
Annual Review of Economics (2025), forthcoming
[Working Paper]
Annual Review of Public Health (2025), forthcoming
Journal of the Association of Environmental & Resource Economists (2025), forthcoming
[Published Version]
[Working Paper]
Journal of the Association of Environmental & Resource Economists (2025), forthcoming
[Published Version]
[Working Paper]
[NBER Working Paper]
Marketing Science (2024), 43(5): 925-1151 (Finalist in the 2022 Gary L. Lilien ISMS-MSI Practice Prize Competition)
[Published Version]
[Working Paper]
Regional Science & Urban Economics (2024), 107: 104006
[Published Version]
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization (2024), 219: 340-370
[Published Version]
[Final Working Paper]
[Earlier Working Paper]
Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science (2024), 52: 1452-1474
[Published Version]
[Working Paper]
Management Science (2023), 69(12): 7151-7882
[Published Version]
[Working Paper]
[Earlier NBER Working Paper]
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2023), 120(23): e2219396120
[Published Version]
Science (Letter) (2023), 380: 803
[Published Version]
Nature (2023), 618:907
[Published Version]
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (2023), Spring: 167-178
[Published Version including paper being commented on]
American Economic Association: Papers & Proceedings (2023), 113: 329-335
[Published Version]
[Working Paper]
International Journal of Industrial Organization (2023), 87: 102904
[Published Version]
[Working Paper]
Journal of the Association for Consumer Research (2023), 8(3): 290-300
[Published Version]
[Working Paper]
Journal of Political Economy (2022), 130(10): 2534-2593
[Published Version]
[Working Paper]
[NBER Working Paper]
Marketing Science (2022), 41(3): 453-476
[Published Version]
[Working Paper]
In: Environmental and Energy Policy and the Economy vol. 3, Tatyana Deryugina, Matthew Kotchen, and James Stock (eds). National Bureau of Economic Research.
[Published Version]
[Working Paper]
[NBER Working Paper]
American Journal of Agricultural Economics (2022), 104(1): 228-248
[Published Version]
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy (2021), 13(3): 207-238
[Published Version]
[Working Paper]
[NBER Working Paper]
Management Science (2021), 67(11): 6629-7289
[Published Version]
[Working Paper]
Science Advances (2021), 7(34): eabg0947
[Published Version (Open Access)]
Nature (2021), 590: 548-550
[Published Version (Open Access)]
Nature Communications (2021), 12: 7121
[Published Version (Open Access)]
Environmental Science & Technology (2021), 55(4): 2224-2233
[Published Version (Open Access)]
Environmental Research Letters (2021), 16(4): 043007
[Published Version (Open Access)]
Environmental Research Letters (2021), 16(3): 034045
[Published Version (Open Access)]
RAND Journal of Economics (2020), 51(4): 1162-1196
[Published Version]
[E2e Working Paper]
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy (2020), 12(3): 107-133
[Published Version]
[Final Working Paper]
[NBER Working Paper]
[Global Water Forum Post]
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2020), 117(34): 20503-20510
[Published Version]
[Research Highlight in Nature]
Environmental Science & Technology (2020), 54(16): 9824-9833
[Published Version]
[Final Working Paper]
[Supplementary Information]
Joule (2020), 4(7): 1337-1341
[Published Version (Covid-19 Open Access Portal)]
[Supplementary Information]
Nature (2020), 580: 453-455
[Published Version]
Nature Energy (2020), 5: 202-212
[Published Version]
Review of Environmental Economics & Policy (2020), 14(1): 136-142
[Published Version]
[Final Working Paper]
Quantitative Economics (2019), 10(1): 275-310
[Published Version]
[Final Working Paper]
Journal of Urban Economics (2019), 109: 27-40
[Published Version]
[Final Working Paper with Online Appendix]
Energy Journal (2019), 40(2): 75-100
[Published Version]
[Final Working Paper]
[Online Appendix]
Science (2018), 362(6419): 1119-1121
[Published Version]
Nature (2018), 563: 245-248
[Published Version]
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2018), 115(21): 5409-5414
[Published Version]
Journal of Economic Perspectives (2018), 32(5): 1-20
[Published Version]
[Final Working Paper]
[Errata]
Journal of the Association of Environmental & Resource Economists (2018), 5(4): 791-826
[Published Version]
[Final Working Paper]
[Online Appendix]
[Earlier Cowles Foundation Working Paper]
Journal of Environmental Economics & Management (2018), 90: 303-316
[Published Version]
[Final Working Paper]
Annual Review of Resource Economics (2018), 10(1): 511-532
[Published Version]
[Final Working Paper]
Nature (2017), 51: 27-29
[Published Version]
Renewable Energy (2017), 114: 1333-1339
[Published Version]
[LBNL Working Paper]
Applied Energy (2017), 187: 501-513
[Published Version]
Science (2016), 354(6316): 1096-1098
[Published Version]
Review of Environmental Economics & Policy (2016), 10(1): 68-88
[Published Version]
[Final Working Paper]
[Supplementary Materials]
[RFF Discussion Paper]
Science (2016), 352(6283): 292-293
[Published Version]
Energy Journal (2016), 37(3): 231-250
[Published Version]
[LBNL Working Paper]
Journal of the Association of Environmental & Resource Economists (2015), 2(1): 133-159
[Published Version]
[Working Paper Version]
Energy Economics (2015), 52(S1): S41-S52
[Published Version]
[Working Paper with Online Appendix]
Journal of Economic Geography (2015), 15(4): 815-839
[Published Version]
[Working Paper Version]
Science (2014), 346(6214): 1189-1190
[Published Version]
In: New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, Steven Durlauf and Lawrence Blume (eds). Palgrave Macmillian Publishing. 2014.
[Published Version]
[Working Paper Version]
Review of Environmental Economics & Policy (2014), 8(1): 18-38
[Published Version]
[RFF Discussion Paper Version]
Regional Science & Urban Economics (2014), 47(4): 13-24
[Published Version]
[Working Paper Version]
Environmental Science & Technology (2013), 47(6): 2494-2501
[Published Version]
Nature (2013), 493: 475-476
[Published Version]
Marketing Science (2012), 31(6): 900-912
[Published Version]
[Working Paper Version]
[Online Appendix]
Climate Change Economics (2012), 3(4): 1-25
[Published Version]
[Working Paper Version]
Energy Journal (2012), 33(2): 37-62
[Published Version]
[Working Paper Version]
[Contract Theory Appendix]
In: Harnessing Renewable Energy, A. Jorge Padilla and Richard Schmalensee (eds). RFF Press. 2010.
[Published Version]
[Working Paper Version]
Journal of Cleaner Production (2010), 18(9): 908-916
[Published
Version]
Annual Review of Resource Economics (2009), 1: 597-619
[Published
Version] [NBER Working
Paper Version] [RFF Discussion
Paper Version] [Reprint in Italian in Energia]
Energy Policy (2009), 37(9): 3336-3347
[Published
Version]
International Journal of Hydrogen Energy (2009), 34(7): 2855-2865
[Published
Version]
Energy Economics (2008), 30(6): 2734-2753
[Published
Version] [RFF Discussion Paper Version]
Energy Journal (2008), 29(3): 131-151
[Published
Version] [Final Working
Paper Version] [RFF Weekly Policy
Commentary based on the paper]
Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change (2008), 13(7): 675-701
[Published
Version] [Published
Version with Appended Figures]
Transportation Research A (2007), 41(8): 734-749
[Published Version] [RFF Discussion Paper Version]
Annual Review of Environment and Resources (2006) 31: 193-237
[Published
Version] [RFF Discussion Paper Version]
[Resources
article based on the paper]
Journal of American Water Works Association (2006) 98(9): 100-108
[RFF Discussion Paper Version]
Transportation Research Record (2005) 1932: 169-177
[Published Version]
In: Road Pricing: Theory and Practice, Georgina Santos (ed). Elsevier Publishing. 2004
[RFF Discussion Paper Version]
ISPI-McKinsey Report (2021), July 15
[Published Version]
RFF Issue Brief (2021), April 27
[Published Version]
Public Health Post (2021), February 3
[Published Version]
International Monetary Fund Finance & Development (2019), 56(4)
[Published Version]
Docket numbers: EPA HQ OAR 2018 0283 and NHTSA 2018 0067 (2018), October 27
[On the Forecasting of New Vehicle Sales (with Jim Stock and Wade Davis)]
[On Fleet Turnover and Used Car Prices]
[On the Rebound Effect]
YaleGlobal Online and VoxEU/CEPR Policy Portal (2018), October
[YaleGlobal Online] [VoxEU Version]
The Hamilton Project Policy Proposal (2016), 2016-07
[Brookings Link]
Photovoltaics International (2012), 17: 146-150
[Published Version]
Science (2010), 327: 411-412
[Published Version]
Precourt Institute for Energy Efficiency Working Paper (2008)
Stanford Global
Climate and Energy Project Working Paper (2006)
In: The RFF Reader in Environmental and Resource Policy, Wallace Oates (ed). Resources for the Future Press. 193-201. 2006
Resources for
the Future Issue Brief 03-03 (2003)
Resources for
the Future Issue Brief 03-05 (2003)